Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – September 8, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet on Wednesday night, with the winner of the contest also becoming the series winner after the two went their separate ways in the first two games. The first pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET.

Starting lineups

Starting throwers

Vladimir Gutiérrez

After two bad outings in a row, Vladimir Gutierrez is hoping the Cubs will be what he needs to get things going in the right direction. He’s faced them three times this year and allowed five runs in 17.2 innings (2.55 ERA) with 6 walks and 15 strikeouts.

Right-handed hitters have hit 0.280 / 0.342 / .450 against him this season in 226 home plate appearances. Left-handed hitters have a 0.225 / 0.303 / 0.461 line against him in 198 home plate appearances this season. Lefties hit for a lot more power, but end up with fewer hits and fewer times on the base. His home and route differences are important. On the road, his ERA is 3.58 (4.91 at home) and his OPS is just 0.686 on the road versus 0.889 at home.

Use of the location from 2021

4 seams Curve Slide Switch
Bike 93.2 77.4 83.1 81.1
Use 47% 18% 24% 11%

Alec mills

Split the time between the bullpen (12 appearances) and rotation (15 starts), Alec Mills has a 4.25 ERA on 95.1 innings with 25 walks and 71 strikeouts. He made two starts against the Reds – both in July – and allowed five earned runs in 11.2 innings. On the first start, he struck out nine batters. In the most recent, he didn’t hit anyone in 6.0 innings.

As a starter, he’s posted a 3.69 ERA and the batters have posted a 0.281 / 0.323 / 0.421 line against him this season. It shows some splits against left-handed and right-handed people. The left-handed hitters have a .306 / .379 .488 line against him with 13 walks and 33 strikeouts in 190 home plate appearances this year. Right-handed hitters have hit 0.270 / 0.308 / 0.393 against him this season in 226 home plate appearances.

Use of the location from 2021

4 seams 2 seams Switch Slide Curve
Bike 88.8 89.2 79.0 76.7 65.8
Use 17% 44% 15% 13% 11%

When and where

  • Game time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Or: Wrigley Field
  • To concern: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 73 °, partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain

NL Central Ranking

Playoff odds via Fangraphs

Team W THE FR Qualifiers%
Brewers 85 55 0 100.0%
red 74 66 11.0 49.5%
Cardinals 69 68 14.5 2.5%
Bear cubs 64 76 21.0 0.0%
Pirates 50 89 34.5 0.0%

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